5.6 Pipeline of technical modules

Quantitative pipeline characteristics

## > *Pipeline quantitative characteristics available when connected to the data server.*
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## > *The pipeline includes computational nodes with datasets and processing functions organized in a unified targets network.*

5.6.1 Data collection module

The data collection module consists of:

  • connection via REST API to the following data sources:
  • official statistics (municipal, regional, and federal)
  • Federal Tax Services (balance sheets from 2012 to 2021)
  • processing hierarchical data obtained from external sources:
  • official statistics (input-output matrices, information on household income, consumer price index)
  • Federal Customs Services (volumes of import and export)
  • Central Banks (refinancing rate, balance of exports and imports, US Dollar exchange rate)
  • information about registered enterprises
  • information about small and medium-sized businesses
  • state, regional, and municipal budgets
  • investment program

5.6.2 Data normalization module

A data normalization module consisting of the following nodes:

  • bringing data to the directories of the Digital Twin database
  • eliminating duplicates
  • eliminating gaps (recovery) in data series
  • bringing data sets to a unified format sufficient for further estimates
  • normalizing data on investment projects

5.6.3 Modeling and forecasting module

The modeling and forecasting module consists of the following nodes:

  • calibrating demographic model parameters based on actual data
  • building demographic forecasts
  • calibrating the parameters of the macroeconomic dynamics model
  • building inertial forecasts of macroeconomic indicators
  • building transition matrices from observed indicators to eigenvectors (principal components) and vice versa
  • building correlation matrices linking changes in regulated indicators with changes in target indicators over time
  • assessments of generalizing and relative indicators of socio-economic development
  • calculation of matrices of intersectoral balances, including matrices of direct production coefficients, matrices of multipliers, specific household consumption, and budget expenditures
  • detailing and calibrating intersectoral balance sheets, taking into account actual accounts reports
  • estimating projection-based intersectoral balances based on forecasts of macroeconomic indicators, matrices of multipliers, and specific household consumption and budget expenditures
  • estimating interterritorial balances, including indicators of passenger and cargo flows
  • estimating financial models for investment projects (preparation of project passports)
  • estimating the impact of projects, portfolios, and programs on indicators of socio-economic development
  • estimating the investment development of territories (taking into account the implementation of investment projects and other management decisions)

5.6.4 Results preparation modules

Result preparation modules consist of the following nodes:

  • transformations and converting of the data sets to the format of the data consumer
  • preparation of separate data segments
  • preparation of dashboards
  • preparation of analytical reports on socio-economic development
  • preparation of technical reports on completeness and inconsistencies in data

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