1.6 Models under development
The Digital Twin team conducts its own scientific and technical activities to develop and improve mathematical models of social, economic, and technical systems.
1.6.1 Macroeconomic models
1.6.1.2 Demographic model
Purpose. Forecasting population dynamics, fertility, mortality, migration flows, age and gender structure, and life expectancy.
Effect. Improving the objectivity and integrity of strategic and investment planning.
Users. Investment banks, developers, regional governments, and municipal administrations.
Initial data. Retrospective and forecast of demographic indicators.
1.6.2 Interindustry and sectoral models
1.6.2.1 Interindustry balance model and supply-demand models
Purpose. Assessment of deficits-surpluses, supply and demand, export-import, input-output, capacity-load, efficiency, and effectiveness of state regulation and measures.
Effect. Improving the effectiveness of production and investment programs.
Users. Investment banks, developers, regional governments, and municipal administrations.
Initial data. Retrospective and forecast of socio-economic indicators (population, infrastructure, production, energy supply, and ecology). Parameters of large, promising investment projects. Comprehensive development programs of the city.
1.6.2.2 Agglomeration model. Model of interterritorial balances
Purpose. Assessment of commuting, workload, and demand for infrastructure, formation of plans for the development of transport systems.
Effect. Improving the effectiveness of measures and programs for the development of urban infrastructure, taking into account the mutual influence of settlements.
Initial data. Retrospective and forecast of socio-economic indicators (population, infrastructure, production, energy supply, ecology). Parameters of large, promising investment projects. Comprehensive development programs of the city.
1.6.2.3 Transport and economic balance
Purpose. Assessment and forecast of the state of the transport sector. Determination of directions for increasing the economic efficiency of the public transport sector. Substantiation of the parameters of transport reform and management decisions.
Effect. Increasing revenue from passengers. Reduction of unit costs for ensuring a given level of transport accessibility. Increasing the investment attractiveness of the industry.
Initial data. A master plan of the territory. Indicators of socio-economic development. Territory planning projects and road network schemes. Routes and timetables for the movement of public transport. Reports on tariff and balance decisions, balance sheets, reports, and plans on investment and production programs of resource-supplying organizations. Information on retrospective and prospective budget subsidies.
1.6.2.4 Fuel and energy balance
Purpose. Assessment and forecast of demand and supply of fuel and energy resources. Determination of directions for increasing the economic efficiency of the sphere. Substantiation of regulation parameters and long-term investment planning.
Effect. Reducing the energy intensity of the economy. Management of the energy security of the economy and the economic efficiency of the energy sector.
Users. Regulators of the fuel and energy sector.
1.6.2.5 Identification, analysis, and prevention of the causes of receivables for the consumption of utilities and services.
Purpose. Quantitative assessment of the contribution of individual reasons for the formation of receivables to suppliers of utility and energy resources.
Effect. Decrease in the growth rate of receivables.
Users. City departments of the Fuel and Energy Economy. Department of housing and utility services. Resource-supplying organizations.
Initial data. The structure and volume of monthly charges and payments for utilities and services, sorted by personal accounts linked to the Federal Information Address System. Data of resource supplying organizations on the structure and volumes of monthly production and sale of utility and energy resources by the consumer with reference to the Federal Information Address System.
1.6.2.6 Estimation, assessment, and analysis of the risks of resource supply of territories
Purpose. Distribution of risks of guaranteed heat supply and probable loss of resources in water supply, sewerage, and heat supply systems.
Effect. Increasing the validity and reducing the unit costs of resource-supplying organizations.
Users. Resource supplying organizations
Initial data. Digital models of heat supply, water supply, and sanitation schemes. Statistics on accidents, technological violations, identified defects, and technological and emergency interruptions of resource supply, with reference to sections of resource supply networks. Daily, monthly and annual graphs of thermal and hydraulic loads, volumes of production, transportation, and sale of thermal energy, cold and hot water, coolant, wastewater, and incinerated sludge.
1.6.3 Technological and technical models
1.6.3.1 Digital model of heat supply, water supply, and sewerage
Purpose
- Development of optimal thermal and hydrodynamic regimes
- Development of optimal production and investment programs
- Substantiation of parameters for adjusting sectoral schemes
Effect. Reducing fuel and energy costs to ensure the desired temperature of heated rooms.
Users. Department of Energy. Heat supply and water supply organizations.
Initial data. Hourly, daily, and monthly volumes of consumption of fuel and energy resources, supply of thermal energy from collectors, volumes of general house consumption of thermal energy, hot and cold water, and volumes of cold water make-up. Electronic scheme of heat supply, water supply, and sewerage.
1.6.3.2 Assessment, analysis, and forecast of the place and time of pipeline destruction
Purpose. Element-by-element assessment of the terms and conditions for the safe operation of sections of main, distribution, and house pipelines of water supply, sanitation, heat supply, and gas supply systems
Effect. Reducing the accident rate and unit cost of ownership of pipeline networks.
Users. Operating organizations
Initial data. Access to wells and thermal chambers, entrances of apartment houses for instrumental control. The project, executive, and operational documentation. Information on the results of organizational and technical measures.
1.6.3.3 Optimization of groupage cargo transportation schedules
Purpose. Optimization of groupage cargo transportation schedules.
Effect. Reducing costs, with given limits on delivery time.
Users. Transport organizations.
Initial data. Retrospective information on the volume and structure of shipped goods, sorted by collection points. The cost of delivery and main transportation of goods.
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Updated by 27.05.2026
1.6.1.3 Social and economic model for achieving national goals
Purpose. Scenario-based forecasting of the dynamics of income/expenditure of the population/enterprises/budget and quality of life (security, accessibility, reliability, and safety).
Effect. Improving the adequacy of strategic and investment planning.
Users. Investment banks, developers, regional governments, and municipal administrations.
Initial data. Retrospective and forecast of socio-economic indicators (population, infrastructure, gross output, energy supply, ecology). Parameters of large, promising investment projects. Comprehensive development programs of the city.